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In 2022, the sales volume of industrial robots in China will exceed 300,000 units,

Throughout 2022, due to the recovery of the automobile industry and the rapid development of new energy industries such as lithium batteries and photovoltaics, the overall sales volume of China's industrial robot industry has exceeded 300,000 units, a year-on-year growth. slow, but the absolute number is still considerable, and the industrial robot industry maintains a growth trend.

 In 2022, the sales volume of industrial robots in China will exceed 300,000 units, and the growth ra(图1)

According to IFR comprehensive survey data, it is estimated that the scale of China's industrial robot market will reach US$8.7 billion in 2022, and this figure is expected to exceed US$11 billion by 2024.

 

From the trend point of view, the overall sales level of industrial robots in China this year showed a trend of low opening and flat going. In the first ten months of this year, the output of China's industrial robots was 362,600 sets, a year-on-year decrease of 3.2%, but the output in October was 39,000 sets, a year-on-year growth rate of 14.4%, which was significantly better than the annual average. In the first half of the year, regional blockades and supply chain tensions led to delivery problems in robot attempts. However, there is still a lot of room for downstream procurement budgets. After the supply chain problems are resolved, the demand side is expected to increase.

 

From the perspective of downstream industries, in the past, the demand for industrial robots in the automobile and 3C industries accounted for nearly 60%. This year, the new energy industry has become the largest demand pull force. Lithium batteries, photovoltaics, and the demand of the automotive industry mainly based on new energy vehicles Speed up. In addition, the demand in the fields of semiconductors, logistics and warehousing has also increased to a certain extent. The traditional main downstream 3C industry has declined significantly, and the growth rate of demand in industries such as metal processing, home appliances, and food and beverage has also declined.

 

Corresponding to the changes in the downstream market, driven by the automobile and new energy markets, the demand for various types of large-load robots has increased. In the first half of this year, the market share of six-axis robots with medium and large loads exceeded 30% for the first time, and the demand for SCARA robots with high speed and large loads also increased. However, due to factors such as the downturn of the 3C industry, the small six-axis robot market declined significantly year-on-year; the parallel robot market was dragged down by the food, beverage, and daily chemical industries.

 

At present, there is a small gap in the supply chain of foreign robot companies, which leads to a longer delivery period. Domestic automobile OEMs are also seeking security in the supply chain. At the current time, they may accept domestic heavy-duty robots, and domestic heavy-duty robots have ushered in a short window. Expect. At present, domestic manufacturers such as Estun and Eft have launched new heavy-duty products of more than 130kg to participate in the competition in the field of large-duty robots.

 

A recent survey conducted by the organization on leading industrial robot companies shows that the production and sales of related companies have made considerable progress. The robot shipment target is 25,000 units, and it is estimated that the target of 16,000-18,000 shipments in 2022 will be achieved, and the growth rate will also exceed 50%.

 In 2022, the sales volume of industrial robots in China will exceed 300,000 units, and the growth ra(图2)

The industrial robot industry will continue to grow by 20% in 2023

Taking into account the backlog of robot orders from various companies, the demand gap in downstream industries, and changes in population structure, it is expected that China's industrial robot market will grow steadily in 2023 as in 2022, with a growth rate of about 20%. The explosive growth of the industry in 2021 has already become the past.

 

From the perspective of application fields, the growth of industrial robots is still driven by emerging fields. Eston also said that the main downstream applications of the company's industrial robots include photovoltaics, lithium batteries, energy storage-based new energy industries, welding applications, automotive and Auto parts, 3C and PCB industry, metal processing industry and other general industries.

 

According to the analysis of the Robot Industry Research Institute, China's industrial robot market has re-formed a "one super and many strong" competition pattern. In 2023, there will be at least two manufacturers with annual sales of domestic industrial robots exceeding 20,000 units. The number of manufacturers will reach 5, and the market concentration will further increase. Estun predicts that the market share of the top three domestic robots is expected to reach about 18%. In addition, the market structure of collaborative robots in subdivided fields is expected to undergo major changes. The three leading companies may be listed in 2023, and the overall market share of the top three companies in the market share may increase to more than 50%.

 

Looking forward to 2023, the overall growth rate of China's industrial robot market is expected to be 20% to 25%, and the new energy industry will still be the biggest driving force.


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