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The world's largest industrial robot market will usher in double opportunities

With the advent of the global post-epidemic era, China's industrial economy has shown strong resilience and vitality to deal with complex and severe situations, and the industrial robot industry has risen against the trend. According to the latest data released by the National Bureau of Statistics of China, in 2021, the output of industrial robots by enterprises above designated size in China will be 363,000 sets, a year-on-year increase of 44.9%.


The worlds largest industrial robot market will usher in double opportunities(图1)


China has been the world's largest consumer of industrial robots for eight consecutive years. In 2020, the density of manufacturing robots will reach 246 units per 10,000 people, nearly twice the global average.


In terms of scale, the operating income of the robot industry will exceed 100 billion yuan for the first time in 2020; the average annual compound growth rate is about 15%, of which the output of industrial robots has increased from 72,000 sets to 212,000 sets, with an average annual growth rate of 31%.


The worlds largest industrial robot market will usher in double opportunities(图2)


From the perspective of technology and products, key technologies and components such as precision reducers, high-performance servo drive systems, intelligent controllers, and intelligent integrated joints have accelerated breakthroughs, and innovative achievements have continued to emerge. increasingly optimized.

 

According to IFR data, the sales volume of industrial robots in China in 2020 will reach 42.25 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18.9%. It is estimated that by 2025, the sales scale of China's industrial robots will reach about 105.1 billion yuan.

 The worlds largest industrial robot market will usher in double opportunities(图3)The worlds largest industrial robot market will usher in double opportunities(图4)

According to IFR's "World Robot 2021 Industrial Robot Report", China's industrial robot shipments reached 168,400 units, a strong growth of 20%, ranking first in the world.


From the perspective of mechanical structure, according to MIR statistics, the sales volume of vertical multi-joint robots in the Chinese market in 2020 will still rank first among all models, accounting for 63% of the total annual sales; SCARA robots accounted for 30% of the annual sales ; In addition, collaborative robot and Delta robot sales accounted for 4% and 3% respectively.

 The worlds largest industrial robot market will usher in double opportunities(图5)The worlds largest industrial robot market will usher in double opportunities(图5)

On the whole, in recent years, with the policy support of the Chinese government, the density of industrial robots in China has continued to increase, and the output and sales have increased year by year.

 

A double opportunity:China is the largest market for robots in the world, and there is still room for development in three aspects:The aging population has exacerbated labor shortages, and there is still room for improvement in robot density. According to IFR, the density of domestic industrial robots in 2020 will be 247 units/10,000 people. According to the forecast of the 14th Five-Year Planof the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, assuming that the density of industrial robots will reach 500 units/10,000 people in 2025, and the domestic population base remains unchanged, then the domestic industrial robot sales volume There is still room for doubling;

The worlds largest industrial robot market will usher in double opportunities(图7)The worlds largest industrial robot market will usher in double opportunities(图8)

The application scenarios are gradually expanded to welcome the historic opportunity of new energy. According to our estimation, the usage of industrial robots in the new energy industry from 2022 to 2025 will be 10.2/13.0/17.1/233,000 units respectively, with a CAGR=32%.

 

Policies boost the transformation and upgrading of high-end manufacturing. On the whole, according to MIR's forecast, the domestic industrial robot market sales will reach 432,000 units by 2025, and the CAGR from 2021 to 2025 will be 13.9%. Foreign capital monopolizes the high-end market, and domestic robots welcome the golden replacement period. In the short term, the epidemic situation and out-of-stocks will bring great advantages to domestic manufacturers in terms of delivery time. At the same time, the demand in the new energy field is strong, and some customers will choose domestic products to replace them. Domestic manufacturers are expected to quickly iterate their products with their strong learning ability. Gradually shorten the technological gap with foreign capital; in the long run, the rapid development of the new energy industry chain is expected to change the original pattern of robots. 

The worlds largest industrial robot market will usher in double opportunities(图9)The worlds largest industrial robot market will usher in double opportunities(图10)

The automotive industry has long been the scene with the largest use of robots and the highest performance requirements, and has always been the basic disk of the four major families. In the context of rapid development in the field of new energy, it is expected to replace cars as the largest application scenario for robots. New energy robots have lower performance requirements than automotive robots, and pay more attention to cost-effectiveness. Domestic robots will gain more advantages in the competition with the four major families. ext, our TURIN market consultants will confirm the details of the cooperation with you. thanks.


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